Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.837261 4.162802 4.519597 4.942819 5.435353 5.995817 6.689722
2025-11-30 3.368107 3.794234 4.292560 4.929042 5.736942 6.753075 8.171948
2025-12-07 3.020692 3.473837 4.023329 4.756165 5.737374 7.054858 9.057152
2025-12-14 2.750333 3.209394 3.780702 4.567277 5.664124 7.215347 9.746772
2025-12-21 2.606603 3.085138 3.696089 4.564642 5.827943 7.717334 11.060607
2025-12-28 2.474984 2.963065 3.599304 4.528262 5.929034 8.130671 12.334074
2026-01-04 2.319421 2.797640 3.429615 4.368950 5.820681 8.183507 12.954510
2026-01-11 2.232098 2.716798 3.368126 4.357843 5.935738 8.623022 14.478542
2026-01-18 2.188190 2.690933 3.379571 4.453295 6.229914 9.430276 17.139082
2026-01-25 2.317234 2.910709 3.756781 5.151067 7.658257 12.823001 29.161309
2026-02-01 2.177488 2.741084 3.547866 4.885164 7.311686 12.387461 29.011483
2026-02-08 2.052767 2.588252 3.357156 4.637249 6.975864 11.925245 28.579519
2026-02-15 1.994976 2.538372 3.332351 4.687686 7.263968 13.111088 36.510313
2026-02-22 1.924655 2.467384 3.271981 4.674853 7.434985 14.110384 46.034600
2026-03-01 1.829156 2.353580 3.136595 4.516263 7.278396 14.183978 50.780127
2026-03-08 1.738146 2.242368 2.999083 4.342589 7.066757 14.047978 54.193215
2026-03-15 1.690764 2.194297 2.958839 4.340164 7.225317 15.071122 71.147193
2026-03-22 1.640744 2.139735 2.904626 4.306672 7.309112 15.908659 92.640685
2026-03-29 1.571755 2.053428 2.794373 4.159836 7.111527 15.736594 100.431981
2026-04-05 1.533885 2.013392 2.757881 4.149588 7.234971 16.762549 143.516960
2026-04-12 1.516829 2.004595 2.772202 4.237610 7.612341 18.984196 314.888825
2026-04-19 1.592679 2.144871 3.047404 4.878150 9.611187 31.207682 NaN
2026-04-26 1.520865 2.046080 2.902757 4.634650 9.082406 28.989599 NaN